The Mathematics of Climate and the Environment
IHP, Paris, September 9 - December 21 2019
Deadline for financial support: March 15th, 2019
Registration is free however mandatory: http://www.ihp.fr/en/CEB/T3-2019
Workshop 3
Coupled climate-ecology-economy modeling and model hierarchies
Venue: Institut Henry Poincare, Paris (France), 2 - 6 December 2019
Amphithéâtre Hermite
Scientific Committee
Synopsis
The aim of the workshop is to bring together economists, climate scientists and mathematicians who work on the interactions between climate systems, ecosystems, financial systems and the economy. Emphasis will be placed on enhancing interactions between disciplines on methodological issues and research outcomes. The workshop will also illuminate the policy implications of the recent research on climate-ecology-economy modeling.
Participants
Professor Lars Peter Hansen, 2013 Nobel Laureate in Economics, will give a keynote speech on Wednesday
2 December 2019 - 6 December 2019, Institut Henri Poincaré, Paris (France)
Amphithéâtre Hermite
Monday (2 December): Climate-ecology interactions, Chair: Victor Brovkin
10:00-12:00 - Keynote speeches
Jost von Hardenberg, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate – CNR
Stefan Dekker, University of Utrecht: Moisture recycling in the Amazon
12:00-13:30 - Lunch break
13:30-15:00 - Session I
Beniamino Abis, European Space Agency, Frascati: Shift happens: alternative tree - cover states of the Boreal ecosystem
Vasilis Dakos, BioDICée, Université de Montpellier: Quantifying resilience: tipping points and early-warnings
15:00-15:45 - Coffee break
15:45-17:15 - Session II
Peter van Bodegom, University of Leiden: Traits-based approaches to better represent ecology in global models
Alexander Winkler, MPI-M, Hamburg: The response of global terrestrial photosynthesis to rising CO2: emergent constraints
Tuesday (3 December): Ecology-economy interactions Chair: Martin Claussen
10:00-12:00 - Keynote speeches
Dieter Gerten, PIK, Potsdam: Planetary environmental boundaries and their modelling
Peter Verburg, University of Amsterdam: Land of challenges and opportunities: Representing land use as a socio-ecological system
12:00-13:30 - Lunch break
13:30-14:15 - Session
Gustav Engstrom, Beijer Institute, Stockholm
14:15-15:00 - Poster session
15:00-15:45 - Coffee break
15:45-18:00 - Free time
18:00 - Cocktail reception (registration at 17:30), Zamansky tower (Jussieu)
Wednesday (4 December): Climate-economy interactions, Chair: Tim Lenton
10:30-12:00 - Climate-economy interactions I
Etienne Espagne, Agence Française de Développement: Climate damages, international financial flows and adaptation strategies in an emerging open-economy
Hector Pollitt, Cambridge Econometrics: Simulating the economy as we simulate the climate: why most economists get it wrong
Matthew Ives, University of Oxford: Sensitive interventions and policy pragmatism in achieving net zero for UK electricity
12:00-13:30 - Lunch break
13:30-15:00 - Climate-economy interactions II
Andreas Groth: Impact of interannual climate variability on the agricultural sector in the Sahel region
Erik Chavez, Imperial
Tim Lenton, University of Exeter: The effect of tipping points on cost-benefit analysis of climate change
15:00-15:45 - Coffee break
15:45-17:00 - Keynote speech
Lars Hansen, University of Chicago: Climate change: uncertainty and economic policy
Thursday (5 December): Climate-finance-economy interactions, Chair: Maria Nikolaidi
10:30-12:00 - Modelling climate-related financial risks
Jean-Francois Mercure, University of Exeter: Macroeconomic impacts of stranded fossil fuel assets
Barbara Sophia Koelbl, Utrecht University: The Heat is on: a framework for measuring financial stress under disruptive energy transition scenarios
Irene Monasterolo, Vienna University of Economics and Business & Boston University: Pricing climate financial risks under uncertainty: an CLIMAFIN application to sovereign bonds’ portfolios
12:00-13:30 - Lunch break
13:30-15:00 - Modelling climate finance policies
Paola D’Orazio, Ruhr-Universität Bochum: The role of finance in environmental innovation diffusion: an evolutionary modeling approach
Yannis Dafermos, SOAS University of London: How can green differentiated capital requirements affect climate risks? A dynamic macrofinancial analysis
Nepomuk Dunz, Vienna University of Economics and Business & IIASA: Climate transition risk, climate sentiments, and financial stability in a stock-flow consistent approach
15:00-15:45 - Coffee break
15:45-17:00 - Panel discussion
Antoine Mandel, Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne
Sandra Batten, Bank of England
Ulrich Volz, SOAS University of London
Friday (6 December): Societal interactions with environment, Chair: Maria Nikolaidi
10:00-12:00 - Keynote speeches:
Sander van der Leeuw, Arizona State University: Integrated socio-environmental modeling: the social scientist’s perspective
Ian Bateman, University of Exeter: The natural capital approach to integrating the environment into economic decision making
12:00-13:30 - Lunch break
13:30-15:00 - Session
Jonathan Donges, PIK: Analytical tools for studying World-Earth system resilience in the Anthropocene: from ontologies to simulation models
Andrew Ringsmuth, Stockholm Resilience Centre: Making sense of cross-scale dynamics in social-ecological systems
15:00-15:45 - Coffee break
15:45-16:45 - Final discussion
